Archive for October, 2010

Posterior probabilities: A Bayesian update of the Miami Heat

October 27, 2010

What can we say about the Miami heat, one game into the season? Let’s do some Bayesian mathematical analysis…
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Posted in Uncategorized | 7 Comments »

A Provisional Re-sequencing of the White Album

October 21, 2010
A Provisional Re-sequencing of the White Album

I call bullshit on anyone who says The Beatles is a well-sequenced album.  It isn’t. Oh, it has it’s moments, especially the synergy created by some of the transitions and sub-sequencing decisions: the sound of the jet landing at the end of Back in the U.S.S.R. just as the guitar begins on Dear Prudence;...
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Cold Fusion

October 15, 2010
Cold Fusion

This is an article about political fusion. But it won’t seem that way for several paragraphs. From pretty much any perspective you want to look — drama, comedy, tragedy, intrigue, farce, oddity, chaos, what if, — it’s pretty hard, among political events,  to beat the 1860 Presidential election. From a basic “what happened” standpoint,...
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Posted in Political Science, Politics | 3 Comments »

Social Network

October 12, 2010

People my exact age have a strange relationship with the Internet, for a very specific reason: we were college freshman in Fall 1996, the year the Internet exploded on college campuses. It was a strange time: none of the juniors or seniors really used email, but all of the freshmen did. Most freshmen used...
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On the idea that both parties might prefer not to control the House

October 6, 2010

This seems to be one of those pieces of counter-intuitive, chattering class conventional wisdom that bubble up every so often. I’m hearing it a lot from both directions. Heck, I’ve made the case myself.  A lot of people seem to think that the Democrats would be better off losing the House. And a growing...
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On the idea of a “taxpayer’s receipt”

October 1, 2010
On the idea of a “taxpayer’s receipt”

There’s a new white paper out from Third Way, a progressive think tank, that is making a lot of headlines on various blogs for its proposal that all taxpayers receive an itemized “receipt” showing where their taxes go. As an example of what the receipt would entail, look at the graphic from Third Way....
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Posted in Political Science, Politics | 2 Comments »